"South Africa Freight Transport Report Q4 2015" Published

Our forecasts for the South African freight transport sector are positive across all modes in 2015 - air, road, rail, and through the country's ports. The economy will see a partial recovery from 2014's anaemic growth of 1.4%, and we forecast a real expansion of 1.9% this year and in 2016. That said, growth in freight volumes will not be particularly robust, and there are significant downside risks to our projections, not least from the mining sector and a potential hard landing in China. South Africa's freight transport sector is driven primarily by two forces: private consumption and the mining sector. Manufacturing industries play a limited role in the intermodal transport of containers, but this is primarily driven by imports. Automotives production necessitates the transport of spare and intermediate parts.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1053003_south_africa_freight.aspx?afid=301

Headline Industry Data

Rail freight growth will be 0.9% in 2015, to 225.48mn tonnes.
Road freight volumes are set to expand by 3.1% in 2015, to 582.56mn tonnes.
Air freight volumes will expand by 2.3% to 1.52mn tonnes.
2015 total trade real growth is forecast at 4.0%. In nominal terms, growth will decline by 3.4% to USD217.6bn.

We forecast real growth of 4.0% in South Africa's total trade in 2015, followed by a slight pick-up to 4.3% in 2015. This year this will be driven equally by imports and exports growth, both projected at 4.0%, while in 2016, exports will outpace imports, expanding by 4.5% while imports growth will remain at 4.0%. However, the real growth obscures the nominal picture, where we envisage a decline in South Africa's total trade levels in nominal terms. We forecast that trade will total USD217.6bn in 2015, following a decline of 3.4%. This would mark the fourth consecutive year that nominal trade in the country declines.

The South Africa Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

BMI Research's South Africa Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the South African freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on South Africa to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in the South African freight transport sector

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