Sweden Country Risk Report Q4 2015 - New Market Report

Sweden's status as an open trade-oriented economy means that its growth prospects will improve in 2016 amid a continued improvement in eurozone economic activity.

The 'December Agreement' signed in December 2015 by the minority coalition government led by the Social Democrats and the main opposition parties will maintain broad political stability until at least 2018.

Interest rates will remain low through 2017 as the central bank (Riksbank) will maintain a negative policy rate and disinflationary conditions will persist.

Major Forecast Changes

With economic activity weakening in the second half of 2015, we have lowered our real GDP growth forecast for Sweden to 2.6% from 2.7% for the year as a whole.

However, we have raised our forecast for growth in 2016 to 2.7% from 2.5% previously, as we envisage rising momentum in household consumption, investment, and exports.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1052880_sweden_country_risk_report_q4.aspx?afid=301

We have raised our current account surplus forecasts for 2015 and 2016 to 6.6% of GDP (from 5.9%) and 6.5% (from 5.4%) in those years, respectively. This is due to a drop in our oil price forecasts, which will reduce the import bill, as well as a strong performances in services exports in the first half of 2015.

Key Risks To Outlook

Downside Growth Risks From Europe: A relapse in the European economic recovery would leave Sweden's open economy vulnerable to external demand shocks.

The Sweden Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Sweden. It is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Sweden's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2019, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Sweden's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Sweden's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Sweden, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Sweden Country Risk Report by Business Monitor International (BMI) includes four major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, Operational Risk and Key Sector Outlook.

Economic Outlook:

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