"Hungary Country Risk Report Q1 2016" now available at Fast Market Research

Having been propped up by fiscal stimulus and large volumes of EU structural funding inflows in 2013 and 2014, real GDP growth in Hungary will slow in the coming quarters as government-led investment projects are scaled back. Hungary's domestic demand recovery will trail that of Central European peers due in part to a crippled banking sector.

However, we have revised up our 2015 and 2016 real GDP forecasts on account of accelerating external demand, improving terms of trade and a better outlook for private consumption.

Although public debt remains well above Emerging European averages and is forecast to decline slowly in the coming years, Hungary's sovereign profile has improved in recent years following substantial external deleveraging.

Hungary's current account surplus will remain sizeable in the coming years, bolstered by falling oil prices. However, we forecast a long-term narrowing of the surplus on the back of weak external demand.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1062408_hungary_country_risk_report.aspx?afid=301

Strong deflationary forces and additional monetary easing from emerging and developed peers will Hungarian National Bank keep policy extremely accommodative in the coming quarters. The bank's pro-growth stance and policy coordination with the government pose minimal risks in the short term as global monetary conditions remain loose, but could damage its credibility over the long-term.

Alleged infringements of civil liberties in Hungary will leave the government ostracised from decision making at an EU level. This isolation will pose little threat to government stability, given the strong popular support the government enjoys, but it does pose a threat to Hungary's influence on regional policy.

Major Forecast Changes

We have revised up our real GDP growth forecasts in 2015 and 2016, from 2.7% and 2.4% to 2.9% and 2.5% respectively.

The Hungary Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Hungary. It is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Hungary's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2019, just published by award-winning forecasters, BMI  Research.

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Hungary's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Hungary's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate

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