New market study, "Central America Agribusiness Report Q4 2015", has been published

Coffee production in the Central America region will remain at risk over the next few years as the nature of subsistence farming will limit investment into safeguards against diseases such as coffee rust (roya). Countries in Central America are generally dependent on corn imports and we expect the corn production deficit to widen over our forecast period. Strength in the US dollar over this time frame will hurt the capital accounts of the region's countries. We believe the region's sugar industry will post strong growth over the coming years despite low international prices.

Key Forecasts

Coffee production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 38.3% to 15.8mn bags. We believe the coffee sector will continue to battle with disease and weather problems, though growth will be high over our period due to the base effects caused by these factors. We see more potential for the sector in the long term due to government support schemes.
Sugar product ion growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 9.1% to 6.0 mn tonnes. Most countries in the region will continue to run a small production surplus out to 2018/19. Development of exports presents upside risks to our production forecasts over the long term.
2015 real GDP growth: 3.3% year-on-year (y-o-y). A moderate rise from 3.1% in 2014. Real GDP growth is predicted to average 3.4% between 2015 and 2019.
Consumer price inflation: 4.6% y-o-y in 2015. An increase from 4.1% in 2014. Inflation is predicted to average 4.6% between 2015 and 2019.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1062432_central_america_agribusiness.aspx?afid=301

The Central America Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Central America Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.

BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts

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