In terms of real GDP growth, Cote d'Ivoire is BMI's pick of Sub-Saharan Africa. We forecast an expansion of 9.1% in 2015, followed by a further 9.0% in 2016, as effective management, business reforms, and increased stability encourage strong investment inflows. Our forecast is a moderate downgrade since our last quarterly report, when we projected growth of 9.4% - the figure the Ivorian authorities are currently predicting, according to an IMF report published on June 12. This is due to a more unpredictable political landscape, as an increasingly united opposition has made incumbent President Alassane Outarra's re-election in October 2015 less of a certainty than we had previously believed.
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We forecast that Cote d'Ivoire's current account deficit will steadily widen over the next several years, as strong growth in imports and falling cocoa prices will weigh on the trade balance. Even as Cote d'Ivoire's current account shortfall increases, we do not believe that it will be a major cause for concern, given the West African country's attractiveness to investors at present which will ensure an inflow of funds and keep the overall balance in surplus.
We remain convinced that a victory for incumbent President Alassane Ouattara is the most likely outcome of the upcoming October 2015 elections, the first since the 2010 polls that ended in months of violence. The president has overseen over four years of rapid economic growth and increasing stability, and a second term for the president will be a positive for investment in the country, given his reputation as a strong manager and the series of economic reforms that are being implemented under his presidency.
The Cote d'Ivoire Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Cote d`Ivoire. It is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.
An influential new analysis of Cote d`Ivoire's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2019, just published by award-winning forecasters, BMI Research.
Key Uses
* Forecast the pace and stability of Cote d`Ivoire's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Cote d`Ivoire's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Cote d`Ivoire, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.
The Cote d'Ivoire Country Risk Report
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Cote d'Ivoire Country Risk Report Q1 2016 - New Market Study Published
Company: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001