"Iraq Country Risk Report Q1 2016" is now available at Fast Market Research

Islamic State will remain well entrenched over the coming year, and Iraqi security forces (ISF) and its allies will focus on re-conquering the Anbar province. Iraq will maintain formal unity within a fragile federalised state over the coming decade, with the Kurdish region retaining significant autonomy but not outright independence.

Stronger headline growth of the Iraqi economy in 2015 will result from accelerating oil exports. Conversely, domestic expansion will be sluggish and uneven; consumer spending and capital formation will be hit hard by political instability, and declining oil prices will hinder the government's ability to prop up spending.

Major Forecast Changes

Iraq's current account surplus will narrow significantly in 2015 as declining oil prices will hit the value of hydrocarbons exports. We forecast Iraq's current account to come in a deficit of 7.0% of GDP in 2015, from our previous forecast of a surplus of 4.5% of GDP and compared to surplus of 9.8% of GDP in 2014.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1073337_iraq_country_risk_report_q1.aspx?afid=301

Key Risks To Outlook

Sectarian tensions could increase even higher if Baghdad fails to reconstruct the Sunni territory it re-conquers from IS.

Oil prices could remain below the USD60/bbl level in 2016, jeopardising even more Baghdad's ability to maintain the subsidy system and its onerous public sector payroll.

The Iraq Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Iraq. It is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Iraq's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2019, just published by award-winning forecasters, BMI Research.

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Iraq's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Iraq's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Iraq, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Iraq Country Risk Report by BMI Research includes four three sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook and Operational Risk.

Economic Outlook:

How will the Iraq' economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2015-2019?

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