Zimbabwe Country Risk Report Q1 2016 - New Study Released

Growing signs of internal divisions in the ruling ZANU-PF adds to existing uncertainty over the future of politics in Zimbabwe once 91-year-old President Robert Mugabe retires or dies. Against this backdrop, a worsening economic climate will put added pressure on government stability.

Political and policy uncertainty will continue to deter much-needed investment into the moribund Zimbabwean economy, while a weak harvest, depreciating South African rand, and lower commodity prices will also weigh on short-term economic activity.

The Zimbabwean economy will remain near deflationary territory over the coming quarters thanks to weak demand, a depreciating South African rand, and lower oil prices.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1073352_zimbabwe_country_risk_report.aspx?afid=301

Major Forecast Changes:

We forecast real GDP in Zimbabwe to reach 1.1% in 2016, following a slip into recession in 2015 at -0.9%. This marks a downward revision of our earlier forecast of 2.4% and 2.8% for 2015 and 2016 respectively.

Key Risks To Outlook:

The political environment presents the most salient risk to our outlook for the Zimbabwean economy. If ZANU-PF successfully re-engages with the international community and unlocks financing, our forecasts will be rendered too pessimistic. However, if political in-fighting leads to more hard-line tendencies it could squeeze the economy further.

Premature abandonment of the foreign currency regime would likely have a negative impact on the economy.

The weather is also a major risk. The country has seen several droughts over the last two decades which have had a devastating impact on the important agricultural sector and there is always a risk of a recurrence of poor rains.

The Zimbabwe Country Risk Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Zimbabwe. It is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Zimbabwe's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2019, just published by award-winning forecasters, BMI Research.

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Zimbabwe's economic and industry growth through end-2019.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the operating environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Zimbabwe's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Index system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Zimbabwe, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

The Zimbabwe Country Risk Report

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