Recently published research from BuddeComm, "Australia - Telecoms Industry - Statistical Overviews", is now available at Fast Market Research
[ClickPress, Tue Jan 12 2016] Wholesale access to the NBN promising benefits for Australia's telcos
Despite pressures on pricing, revenue is expected to show continued growth for fiscal 2016. M&A activity during 2015 has seen telcos such as TPG begin to realise the benefits of scale, propelling them to the main stage in terms of broadband market share. Positive growth is also anticipated from wholesale access to the NBN, with broadband providers such as Optus planning to provide services to up to eight million premises, or double the company's existing footprint.
Optus recovered from revenue the decline reported in FY2014 to record a 6.7% increase in FY2015. VHA, which has been dogged by steep revenue declines for a number of years on the back of customer disaffection with service offerings, reported a 2.9% increase in revenue for the first half of 2015, supported by a 2.1% increase in its retail and MVNO subscriber base. The operator's investments are clearly beginning to deliver rewards, resulting in a change in customer sentiments as it addresses popular concerns over poor network quality and stability.
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Dominance of the triopoly players undermined by consolidation among second-tiers
Telstra continues to dominate the overall Australian telecom market, holding about 62% market share by revenue. Yet the company's share in some sectors, such as broadband, has been falling steadily. TPG has been propelled to the fore in the provision of broadband following its acquisition of iiNet in late 2015. Telstra advantage in being the first telco to deploy LTE has also diminished as Optus and Vodafone now nearly match population coverage. Operator fortunes are now less in attracting new customers as in retaining existing ones, which is being achieved by more generous data caps and the reliability of network infrastructure. Just as Optus and Vodafone have begun to emerge from several difficult financial quarters, second-tier players including Macquarie Telecom, M2 Telecom and TPG (having recently acquired iiNet) continue to report strong revenue growth.
NBN slowly developing structure
Australia's broadband sector is migrating to a multi-technology NBN, though with a considerable emphasis on fibre access. This has left room for further growth in the DSL and cable sectors, both of which are benefiting from the deployment of new technologies. The DSL sector is showing resilience as operators make greater use of VDSL and extend trials of G.fast technology, which can deliver far greater data capacity on legacy copper infrastructure. Much of the HFC network operated by Telstra and Optus, which for long suffered from underinvestment, is now being incorporated within the NBN, and with commercial DOCSIS3.1 technology likely to be deployed in 2017 investment in cable is again underway.
Wholesale measures to deliver improved network access
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