Market Report, "Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2016", published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Fri Feb 12 2016

We hold a cautious outlook towards the Bangladesh agriculture sector over the short term . The limited amount of arable land available for acreage expansion , as well as poor safety standards , will constrain growth over our forecast period. S tructural problems still plague the industry , in particular the logistical challenges of food transportation within the country . Over the long term, we believe there is much more room for growth and improvement in sub-sectors such as grains and livestoc k. That said, as the agricultural sector in Bangladesh employs close to 70% of the working population but contributes only 20% of the country's GDP, there is an obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. GM food policy is also an interesting area to look out , as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open countries to GM food cultivation in Asia .

Full Report Details at

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 25.4% on the 2013/14 level to 1.6mn tonnes. The main driver behind this growth will be an improvement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option for non-irrigated land given the low requirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).
Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 16.5% growth to 151,000 tonnes. Production will fail to return to the levels reached in the early 2000s. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops, such as cotton, we do not foresee sugar production to pick up significantly any time soon.
Poultry production growth to 2019/20: 23.9% to 244,000 tonnes. Better economic conditions and higher disposable incomes will help to drive demand for meat. Better disease control is also expected to support the recovery of the sector.
2016 real GDP growth: 6.5%, same level as in 2015. Predicted to average 6.6% y-o-y between 2016 and 2020.
2016 consumer price inflation: 6.2 % y-o-y average, down from 6.4% y-o-y in 2015. Predicted to average 6.2% from 2016 to 2020.

The Bangladesh Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Bangladesh Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.

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