New Study: Egypt Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

We hold a generally positive outlook on the Egyptian agricultural market. Nevertheless, our forecasts suggest that Egypt will face growing production deficits in grains and meat as it focuses on export-oriented cash crops , while the dairy sector will benefit from sustained private investment. Out to 2020 , an expanding population and rising disposable incomes will support consumption growth in sugar and dairy products. Moreover, rice and beef consumption will benefit from the greater range of products available under the new food subsidy scheme.

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth to 2020: 2.4% to 8.50mn tonnes. Wheat production will be constrained by a greater amount of arable land being devoted to export-oriented crops.
Rice consumption growth to 2020: 11.2% to 4.45mn tonnes. This will come from lower bread consumption induced by the new food subsidy scheme.
Sugar consumption growth to 2020: 12.2% to 3.28mn tonnes. An expanding population and rising disposable incomes will stimulate demand for soft drinks and confectionary goods.
Poultry production growth to 2020: 3.0% to 968,000 tonnes. The recent avian flu outbreak will only cause temporary disruptions in the poultry sector as it is largely due to rural backyard poultry infections, leaving industrial production intact.
Real GDP growth: 2.6% in 2016 (no increase in rate from 2015).
Consumer price inflation: 10.1% average in 2016 (down from 10.4% y-o-y in 2015).

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/1130906_egypt_agribusiness_report_q2.aspx?afid=301

BMI universe agribusiness market value: 1.2% increase to USD29.18bn in 2015/16; forecast to increase on average around 2.1% annually between 2014/15 and 2019/20.

The Egypt Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's Egypt Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits
Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI’s key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats within the wider agricultural industry.

BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts

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