"Angola Infrastructure Report Q2 2016" Published

The Angolan government will struggle to devote significant financial attention to its key inf rastructure projects over 2016 given the wide fiscal deficit and decreased revenues owing to low oil prices. We expect a substantial uptick in growth for the construction sector from 2020 onwards as the country's fiscal position improves , though note the government will need to address pervasive corruption and ease labour market restrictions to attract necessary private investment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

We are maintaining our forecast of 2.5% real growth in 2016 as the fiscal budget remains in the red owing to low oil prices, thereby diverting funds away from infrastructure development.

The second half of our forecast period (2021-2025) will see the highest growth, averaging 6.7% in real terms. This is a result of investment flows into infrastructure to support the oil industry, in line with the expected recovery in Brent Crude oil prices.

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The USD5.2bn credit line granted by the Chinese government in 2015 will provide support for projects in the utilities and residential sectors and into industrial and commercial construction.

Risk/Reward Index

Angola comes in 14 th out of 16 markets in our Sub-Saharan Africa RRI, with the score of 30.9, well below the regional average of 42.6.

Pervasive corruption, high taxes and strict labour regulations are key deterrents to entering the market.

Untapped oil reserves have the potential to boost industry growth, though we forecast this to impact our forecasts only from 2020, in line with improved oil prices.

The Angola Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Angola Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Angolan infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits
Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Angola to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Angolan infrastructure market.
Target business opportunities and risks in the Angolan infrastructure sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Angola.

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