Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q2 2016 - New Market Study Published
New Fixed Networks market report from Business Monitor International: "Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q2 2016"
[ClickPress, Wed Apr 27 2016] We have a positive outlook for the Nigerian mobile market and the country's telecoms sector in general. We now estimate that mobile penetration was just over 80% at the end of 2015. Meanwhile broadband penetration remains very low. There continues to be significant demand for traditional voice and data services, and to a large extent this demand has remained untapped.
A rapidly maturing tower market will enable operators to extend networks into rural areas more cost effectively, while allocation of wholesale broadband infrastructure licences will ensure investment into next generation broadband networks. However, there are several industry and external risks to sustained growth. The government has twice postponed 4G spectrum auctions and has requested a report investigating the sale of incumbent telecoms operator, NITEL, which will delay investment into wireline and mobile data networks. Meanwhile, power shortages, a weaker economic outlook amid lower oil prices and ongoing terrorist attacks all pose additional operational challenges and downside risk to our growth outlook.
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Latest Updates And Industry Developments
We estimate that total Nigerian mobile subscriptions grew by 7.29mn in FY15, compared to 11.97mn growth in FY14. This estimate is based on market data published by the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) for the first nine months of 2015, together with Q415 data for MTN and Etisalat. Both operators reported a significant fall in customers in the fourth quarter. This was due the implementation of new regulations governing the definition of an active mobile customer. The mandatory registration process enforced by the government has been particularly troublesome for market leader MTN, which failed to deactivate around 5mn unregistered accounts by the August 2015 deadline. In December 2015 Nigeria's communications minister, Adebayo Shittu, warned that MTN was at a risk of facing additional fines if it did not meet the year-end deadline to pay the NGN780bn (USD3.92bn) penalty imposed on it already.
In February 2015 the NCC announced plans to allocate the five remaining wholesale broadband infrastructure licences in 2016 as part of a drive to facilitate the implementation of national broadband development goals. Five more wholesale broadband infrastructure companies were to be licensed in the next three-to-six months, according to the NCC.
The Nigeria Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Nigeria's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
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