Market Report, "Ireland Country Risk Report Q3 2016", published

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Mon May 09 2016

Ireland's economic growth story will be robust in 2016 and 2017, with the country set to remain the fastest growing eurozone economy.

The ongoing political crisis in the country may result in a second general election, which would be net negative from a political stability perspective.

That said, solid macroeconomic fundamentals mean that this uncertainty is unlikely to dent the country's robust economic growth outlook.

Whichever party or coalition eventually emerges victorious is likely to adopt broad policy continuity from the previous Fine Gael/Labour coalition, which implies more of the same is on the cards in the years ahead.

Key Risks

Threats to Ireland's low corporate tax rate will grow, which could end up closing off potential revenue generation for the Irish government in the future.

These threats were reflected in April 2016, when US President Barrack Obama implemented tougher tax inversion laws, which led to the collapse of a planned merger between US pharma company Pfizer and Irish company Allergan.

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