"Uganda Infrastructure Report Q3 2016" now available at Fast Market Research

Uganda's construction sector is forecast to expand by 7.7% in real terms over our full forecast period, with investment flows into bringing Uganda's oil reserves online a major driver of growth, along with improvements to overall logistics capacity. Additional revenue from oil exports when the first reserves are brought online will help to ease the pressure on Uganda's fiscal deficit, which has come under further strain as infrastructure spending reaches a record high.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

We forecast the industry to expand 7.1% in real terms in 2016 and 7.7% over our forecast period up to 2025. Around USD11bn has been earmarked for the development of the country's infrastructure over the next 10 years through public and private investment.

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Nominal industry value is expected to almost triple over our forecast period, from an estimated USD3.2bn in 2015 to USD9.2bn in 2025.

Oil reserves are forecast to come online in 2020, which will provide the government with additional revenue to funnel into infrastructure. Oil infrastructure itself, as well as the build of the oil industry, will be a major driver of growth.

The small size of the Ugandan construction market will weigh on the rewards on offer for investors, given the risks in exposure to a market without significant and long-term opportunities that come with larger markets.

Risk/Reward Indices

Uganda places 10 out of 17 markets in BMI's Infrastructure RRI for Sub-Saharan Africa, with an overall score of 37.8 out of 100. It is regarded as a medium risk/low reward destination for investors.

Corruption in the public sector and political interference in the judiciary remain key deterrents to investors wanting to enter the market.

There are no restrictions on importing skilled labour and businesses benefit from highly competitive costs of employment.

Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Uganda 2016)

The Uganda Infrastructure Report features BMI Research's market assessment and forecasts covering public procurement and spending on all major infrastructure and construction projects, including transportation and logistics by land, sea and air; power plants and utilities, and commercial construction and property development. The report analyses the impact of regulatory changes and the macroeconomic outlook and features competitive intelligence on contractors and suppliers.

BMI's Uganda Infrastructure Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Ugandan infrastructure and construction industry.

Key Benefits
Benchmark BMI's independent infrastructure industry forecasts for Uganda to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Ugandan infrastructure market.

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