France Agribusiness Report Q3 2016: New research report available at Fast Market Research

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Fri May 13 2016

Grains production will see limited growth over the next five years due to a high base from 2014/15 and only moderate increases in prices, while France also faces competition from other European producers on the export market. French dairy farmers will be among the EU's outperformers due to steady import demand for their cheese production. French meat production wil l suffer from continued weak demand from other EU countries, the traditional importers of French meat.

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth 2014/15 to 2019/20: 3.9% to 40.5mn tonnes. Our forecasts indicate only moderate growth due to a high base from a bumper crop in 2014/15. We believe other grains-producing countries will compete with France to supply increasing import demand from the Middle East and North Africa.
2016 real GDP growth: 1.4% (up from 1.2% in 2015).
2016 consumer price inflation: 0.6% (up from 0.0% in 2015).
BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD67.5bn in 2015/16, a 0.9% y-o-y increase.

Full Report Details at

Latest Updates & Structural Trends

Wheat production will remain elevated in 2016/17 but decline year-on-year after a bumper crop in 2015/16, while the corn crop will recover from the poor yields of last year's hot and dry summer. France will face continued competition from Eastern European producers on the wheat export market, while it will continue to find steady demand from China for its barley production.

France will see strong growth in milk production out to 2020 due to export-driven increases in cheese production. This strong export demand will enable French dairy farmers to be among the EU's outperformers after the consolidation wave.

We maintain our forecasts for subdued growth in French meat production over the next five years due to continued weak demand from other EU countries, the traditional importers of French meat. Our view for poultry meat to remain the strongest in terms of consumption growth underpins our view for poultry production to outperform the livestock complex.

The France Agribusiness Report features BMI Research's market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's France Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits
Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.

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