New Market Research Report: Kenya Country Risk Report Q3 2016

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Fri May 13 2016

The Kenyan economy will strengthen in 2016, driven by infrastructure investment and improving domestic financial conditions.

Kenyan consumers will benefit from lower global oil prices and an increasingly dynamic services sector, which will support a robust long-term growth outlook.

Fiscal consolidation efforts will be undermined by weak budgeting processes and the government's focus on boosting infrastructure investment.

Economic competition within the East African Community will stymie the liberalisation of the region's economy, adding a drag to long-term growth.

The politicization of ethnic divisions remains the key threat to Kenya's long-term political stability, particularly as the country prepares for a general election in 2017.

Terrorism linked to Kenya's military involvement in Somalia is likely to remain a risk, but does not pose a systemic threat to political stability.

Major Forecast Changes

Full Report Details at

In light of underperforming revenues in the first half of FY2015/16, we have downgraded our forecast deficit for the year from 7.7% of GDP to 8.1%, with a modest narrowing anticipated in FY2016/17.

Key Risks

The Kenyan economy remains vulnerable to volatility in external financial markets. A substantial downturn in China, which is a major financier of Kenyan infrastructure projects, could weigh on investment into the country. Additionally, rising political tensions surrounding the 2017 general elections could result in delayed investment decisions.

Assess your risk exposure in Kenya with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI Research's 52 million data point economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks in Kenya with confidence.

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