"Germany Country Risk Report Q3 2016" Published

German economic growth will remain solid over the coming years, as the economy rebalances away from exports and to domestic demand.

A rise in domestic consumption will reduce Germany's large national savings ratio, which is one of the eurozone's largest structural imbalances.

Germany will run small budget deficits in the years ahead, but its overall credit risk position will remain very favourable compared to most large eurozone economies.

Chancellor Angela Merkel will struggle to retain popular support in the coming months, but will still win the next federal election in 2017 if she decides to run.

Key Risks

We believe the government could come under increased pressure if there are any more high profile incidents relating to immigration.

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The Chancellor's CDU-led coalition government has already been heavily criticised due to its welcoming stance on immigrants, and could come under more pressure if there is social unrest over the coming quarters.

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